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'Throwback to 1984:' Apple's Mac Business Just Surged 24% — Top Analyst Says the Real Boom Is Only Getting Started

  • Apple’s Mac sales jump and education deal hint at a new growth cycle, but margin pressure and Services uncertainty keep the stock in a cautious mood.
  • Mac revenue $10.8 billion (24%
    YoY

    Year over year — compared with the same period last year.

    )
  • MacBook Neo deal 172,654 units
  • December‑quarter gross margin 45‑46%

Apple Inc. (AAPL) reported that its Mac business grew 24% year‑over‑year in the September quarter, beating analysts’ 15% forecast. CEO John Ternus highlighted a new $172,654‑unit MacBook Neo deal with Philippine schools and said the company expects AI‑driven upgrades to lift future growth. The company also warned that higher memory costs will trim December‑quarter gross margins to 45‑46% from 47.9%.

The Mac surge shows Apple’s hardware segment is gaining traction, especially in education, and could signal a broader AI‑enabled growth cycle. The margin warning and weaker Services

guidance

What a company says it expects for future sales or profits — a forecast from the company, not a guarantee.

temper the upside, indicating cost pressures and competitive headwinds. Investors are watching whether the education deal and…

Short-term. Over the next few days, watch for Apple’s December‑quarter earnings for margin confirmation and Services

guidance

What a company says it expects for future sales or profits — a forecast from the company, not a guarantee.

.

Longer-term. For the next few months, the education partnership and AI roadmap could anchor long‑term revenue growth, but margin compression and competitive pressure in Services may limit upside.

Words on this card

MacBook Neo
Apple’s new, affordable MacBook model aimed at consumers and education markets.
Gross margin
The percentage of revenue remaining after subtracting the cost of goods sold.
Services
Apple’s revenue from subscriptions, iCloud, Apple Music, and other digital services.
AI moment
A period when artificial intelligence capabilities significantly boost product value and demand.
Guidance
What a company says it expects for future sales or profits — a forecast from the company, not a guarantee.

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